Gasto Público y Crecimiento Económico de las Provincias del Ecuador, período 2007-2017
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Vargas Celi, Santos Liberato
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Quito, Ecuador : Flacso Ecuador
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Abstract
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La presente investigación analiza la relación bidireccional entre el gasto público y el crecimiento económico en las provincias del Ecuador durante el período 2007-2017. Para ello, se aplicó el método de vectores autorregresivos en datos de panel (PVAR) con efectos fijos, donde las propiedades de las series temporales son desconocidas a priori y pueden presentar raíces unitarias y relación de cointegración. Los resultados confirman la doble causalidad entre ambas variables en el largo plazo. Las variables remesas y tamaño de la provincia afectan positivamente a las dos variables, mientras que la población no muestra un impacto significativo.
This research analyzes the bidirectional relationship between public spending and economic growth in the provinces of Ecuador during the period 2007-2017. For this, the method of autoregressive vectors in panel data (PVAR) with fixed effects was applied, where the properties of the time series are unknown a priori and can present unit roots and cointegration relationship. The results confirm the double causality between both variables in the long term. The variables of remittances and the size of the province positively affect the two variables, while the population does not show a significant impact.
This research analyzes the bidirectional relationship between public spending and economic growth in the provinces of Ecuador during the period 2007-2017. For this, the method of autoregressive vectors in panel data (PVAR) with fixed effects was applied, where the properties of the time series are unknown a priori and can present unit roots and cointegration relationship. The results confirm the double causality between both variables in the long term. The variables of remittances and the size of the province positively affect the two variables, while the population does not show a significant impact.
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Keywords
SISTEMA ECONÓMICO, ADMINISTRACIÓN, GASTO PÚBLICO, PIB PROVINCIAL, INTEGRACIÓN REGIONAL, ECUADOR
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Tesis de maestría
Date
2021-08
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48 p.
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Vargas Celi, Santos Liberato. 2021. Gasto Público y Crecimiento Económico de las Provincias del Ecuador, período 2007-2017. Tesis de maestría, Flacso Ecuador.
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